Frog’s Final Forecast

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The final word on winter 2004 from our reliable slimy green friend

Copied from Snowatch

Tuesday 5: moderate to strong SW-WSW winds, cool day with light scattered showers at times falling as snow above 1800m (1-2cm)

Wednesday 6: light to moderate W winds increasing in VIC later in the day and NSW overnight, mainly fine and sunny day with cloud increasing overnight

Thursday 7: 7 gale force W-NW winds early turning WSW during the day as colder change arrives, showers and rain developing ahead of a cold change – will be heavy at times before it turns to snow above 1500m later in the day in the NSW resorts (5-10cm after initial rain damage)….(10-15cm likely in the VIC resorts, but they are closed)

Friday 8: strong to gale force SW winds, light scattered snowshowers above 1600m easing during the day (1-4cm)

Saturday 9: moderate SSW-SW winds, light scattered showers early clearing later in the day

Sunday 10: moderate WSW-WNW winds, fine sunny and warm day
Monday 11: moderate WNW-NW winds increasing to gale force overnight, fine sunny warm day with temps well above average into the teens.
Tuesday 12: no forecast
Wednesday 13: no forecast
Thursday 14: no forecast
Friday 15: no forecast
Saturday 16: no forecast
Sunday 17: no forecast
Monday 18: no forecast

Long-range Forecast

(updated @ 10:50am Monday 5th October)

This is the last forecast for the year. All Victorian resorts are now closed and only the NSW resorts of PerisherBlue and Thredbo remain open this week.

Thursday should see heavy falls of rain before a cooler change sees snow falling to around 1400m-1500m. At this stage it looks like most of the moisture will pass before the cold air arrives but PB and Thredbo should still get around 5-10cm with the slight possibility of more than that. VIC resorts will do better from this with 10-20cm not out of the question…but they are closed and only the locals be able to enjoy it.

Further ahead there should be a snow bearing system arriving late on the 14th that should see snow fall overnight and into the 15th, so any backcountry travellers be aware of this.

The Frog

Kick up your heels – its spring!

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“Free your heels & your ass will follow”

If you have an iron will, titanium thighs & buns of steel, then you might enjoy the rigours of back-country skiing – personally, I’d rather wait for a full metal chairlift…

Free-heelers Owen Lansbury & Emma Hamilton reporting for NSW Back Country, 3-4/10/04

Did a good trip on Sunday up around North Ram’s Head and down to Dead Horse Gap, then hiked back to Thredbo down the river. Yesterday went off the back of Mount Perisher, out to the Paralyser and down to Guthega. Perfect spring conditions – T-shirts, soggy snow and loads of critters running around. Had to bite the bullet and take our boots off to get across the river at Guthega – then had to walk back up to Blue Cow to get home as they’d closed the lifts for the season.

And so ends another season…


Mrs Echidna comes out for a spot of sunbaking

Emma has 2nd thoughts about crossing the creek barefoot…

Owen dances through the rocks

Emma crossing the arctic tundra

More photos here

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